Precipitation from Vertical Motion: a Statistical Diagnostic Scheme

The relationship between precipitation and atmospheric vertical motion is investigated over the globe. By combining and averaging precipitation rates within small ranges of vertical motion, the mean precipitation rate is found to vary smoothly with vertical motion. The relationship is modelled with a simple function that assumes zero precipitation for subsidence and linearly increasing precipitation for ascending motion. Function parameters are computed from National Centers for Environmental Prediction reanalysis data individually for every grid point and calendar month. Variations in the slope account for geographical and seasonal variations in moisture and other precipitation factors. At each grid point, the scheme diagnoses precipitation rate from a single concurrent value of vertical motion. It is shown to have moderate skill over climatology in predicting mean monthly precipitation. The midlatitudes, oceans and the winter season are favoured. The scheme is designed to extract precipitation fields from a dry general circulation model, based on the simulated vertical motion. Application to climate modelling is discussed. Copyright  2003 Royal Meteorological Society.